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Release: House Price Index, September 2013

Released: 12 November 2013 Next edition: 17 December 2013


Christopher Jenkins

Prices Division

Telephone: +44 (0)1633 455474

Categories: House Price Indices, Economy, Prices, Output and Productivity, Price Indices and Inflation, Housing and Households, Housing Market

Frequency of release: Monthly

Language: English

Geographical coverage: UK

Geographical breakdown: Region

  • The UK house price index level (184.9) has dropped back slightly from the peak last month (186.0). However, annual UK price growth has continued to increase due to larger falls in property prices in September 2012.
  • In the 12 months to September 2013 UK house prices increased by 3.8%, up from a 3.7% increase in the 12 months to August 2013.
  • House price growth remains stable across most of the UK, although prices in London are increasing faster than the UK average.
  • The year-on-year increase reflected growth of 4.2% in England and 1.4% in Wales, offset by falls of 1.1% in Scotland and 1.5% in Northern Ireland.
  • Annual house price increases in England were driven by London (9.4%), the South East (4.0%) and Yorkshire and The Humber (3.0%).
  • Excluding London and the South East, UK house prices increased by 1.4% in the 12 months to September 2013.
  • On a seasonally adjusted basis, UK house prices were unchanged between August and September 2013.
  • In September 2013, prices paid by first-time buyers were 5.3% higher on average than in September 2012. For owner-occupiers (existing owners), prices increased by 3.2% for the same period.

In this release

The ONS House Price Index (HPI), previously published by the Department for Communities and Local Government (DCLG) is a monthly release that publishes figures for mix-adjusted average house prices and house price indices for the UK and its component countries and regions. The index is calculated using mortgage financed transactions that are collected via the Regulated Mortgage Survey by the Council of Mortgage Lenders. These cover the majority of mortgage lenders in the UK.

The HPI statistical bulletin provides comprehensive information on the change in house prices on a monthly and annual basis. It also includes analysis by country, region, type of buyer (first-time buyers and former owner-occupiers) and type of dwelling (new dwelling or pre-owned dwelling). Historical series for all accompanying tables are also available in the data section of this release.

ONS has published Official House Price Statistics Explained, a guidance document that details the ONS HPI methodology and explains the differences between the different sources of official house price statistics.

New this month

New house price data for September 2013 are published this month. The monthly and quarterly reference table (3.35 Mb Excel sheet) has been updated to include data for September 2013, along with data for the third quarter of 2013.

Revisions this month

July and August 2013 data have been revised this month to incorporate transactions from those lenders that provide data on a quarterly basis. There are small revisions to the seasonally adjusted series for the last 12 months, which are expected from the monthly seasonal adjustment process.

Revisions next month

There are no revisions expected in the October 2013 HPI beyond the usual seasonal adjustment revisions.

Taking forward the recommendations from the National Statistician’s review of UK house price statistics - November 2013 update

In July 2013, it was announced that following agreement across the four producers of official house price statistics (Land Registry, Office for National Statistics, Registers of Scotland and Land & Property Services, Northern Ireland), a joint project would be initiated to consider the development of a single definitive UK House Price Index (HPI) from which official providers can report on their own areas of responsibility in a way that can be directly compared. This collaborative approach would hopefully allow the publishing of consistent HPI data at a national, regional and sub-regional level across the UK.

Since July, work has focused on assessing the current sources of data used in the production of official house price statistics and the feasibility of combining these sources to produce a single, definitive HPI. Whilst good progress has been made, further work is now required to investigate sources of property attributes data that would be required to supplement the current data and to begin assessing the different methodologies that could potentially be used to produce a definitive index.

This additional analysis will take place during the next few months with the aim of identifying a suitable methodology and comprehensive source of property attributes data that could be used to produce the definitive HPI. Details regarding this analysis and any further development will be made available in the first quarter of 2014.

If you have any questions regarding the proposed development and the analysis taking place, please use the following email address to contact us:  

Data tables

ONS HPI monthly and quarterly reference tables (3.35 Mb Excel sheet) (number 1 to 19). This reference table provides full historical series for the monthly tables accompanying the House Price Index statistical bulletin. This month, tables 1 to 9 have been updated with the latest monthly data for September 2013 and scheduled quarterly revisions to July and August 2013 data to account for those lenders who provide data on a quarterly basis. The seasonally adjusted figures for the last 12 months in Table 7 have also been revised this month as scheduled. This reference table also contains all the quarterly live tables transferred to ONS from DCLG. Please note that during the transfer ONS renumbered the live tables. Full details of the new table numbers and their corresponding DCLG table numbers can be found in the 'contents' page of the reference table. This month, tables 10 to 19 have been updated with the latest data for the third quarter of 2013.

ONS HPI annual tables (1.16 Mb Excel sheet) (number 20 to 39). This reference table contains all the annual live tables transferred to ONS from DCLG. No annual tables have been updated this month. The next scheduled update of this table is March 2014.

Content from the Office for National Statistics.
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