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Lead expert group


The Lead Expert Group, drawn from a range of scientific fields, works with Foresight to ensure the Migration and Global Environmental Change Project includes the most relevant evidence and its findings are of a high technical and scientific standard.

Professor Richard Black – Chair

Head of the School of Global Studies and Professor of Geography at the University of Sussex.

Professor Black's work focuses on the study of international migration, including forced migration and post-conflict return, and related social and economic transformations. In particular, Professor Black is actively researching and writing on the development of public policy on migration and development especially in poor countries, and on immigrant integration in the UK, particularly relating to African migrations.

He has recently been involved in developing new approaches to the understanding of the consequences of climate change for migration patterns globally.

Neil Adger

Professor of Environmental Economics, School of Environmental Sciences University of East Anglia, and Programme leader at the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research.

Professor Adger has led the research programme on adaptation in the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research since its inception in 2000. He researches and teaches on the social sciences of global change including issues of social vulnerability, resilience and adaptation and justice and equity in decision-making.

Neil is a member of the Resilience Alliance, an international network of ecological and social scientists dedicated to exploring the nature of social-ecological systems as a foundation for sustainable development. He serves as a Convening Lead Author on the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on its assessment of human security. He is Editor of the journal Global Environmental Change.

Professor Nigel Arnell

Director of the Walker Institute for Climate System Research (University of Reading).

Professor Arnell is an expert on the impacts of climate change across the world. His research focuses on the impacts of climate change on water resources and their management. He is a lead author for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and contributed to the Stern Review of the Economics of Climate Change.

Professor Stefan Dercon

Professor Dercon was Professor of Development Economics, Oxford University and senior academic at the Department of International Development, the International Growth Centre and the Centre for the Study of African Economies.

Professor Dercon is a development economist applying microeconomics and statistics to problems of development. His research interests include risk and poverty, agriculture and rural institutions, political economy, childhood poverty, social and geographic mobility, micro-insurance, and measurement issues related to poverty and vulnerability.

Andrew Geddes

Professor of Politics and Head of the Department of Politics at the University of Sheffield; Fernand Braudel Senior Fellow at the European University Institute, Florence.

Professor Geddes specialises in comparative analysis of politics and policy-making in Europe, with a particular interest in the politics of international migration.

Professor David Thomas

Head of School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, and University Professor of Geography and Fellow of Hertford College.

Professor Thomas is Honorary Professor at the University of Cape Town, and in 2005 was the first recipient of the Royal Geographical Society's Oman-Thesiger Fellowship. He is a geomorphologist by training and pursues research interests in arid environmental systems, Quaternary climate and environmental change, and contemporary and future climate change and development. He has held posts that include: Deputy Leader of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research (International development); Director of the CHANGES (Carbon, Hydrology and Global Environmental Systems) research collaborative funded by UNESCO, ICSU, IUGS, and IGCP; leader of IGCP project 500 (Dryland change, past present future); Vice President of the Royal Geographical Society; President of the British Geomorphological Research Group (now British Society for Geomorphology).

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