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David Miliband
(Archived), London

Woleswali

Posted 28 May 2009 by David Miliband  |  5 comments

The article from my favourite Australian analyst David Kilcullen  makes a load of key points - including the emphasis on 398 district and provincial level governors who hold the key to the future of Afghanistan.

These are the people who define the local scene - economic, political, social. Without them, Afghans, with coalition support, can stop things going backwards, but not make progress. These are the sites of important reconciliation with former Taliban. We have got to build from bottom up even as we look to support credible elections that will lead Afghanistan from the top down.



David Miliband
28 May 2009
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>> good blog......<<
Luxury Jobs
28 May 2009

>> Hi David Out of curiosity, what do you make of Kilcullen's argument on US use of drone attacks in...<<
Alex Evans
29 May 2009

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1
>> good blog... <<

Luxury Jobs
28 May 2009

2
>> Hi David Out of curiosity, what do you make of Kilcullen's argument on US use of drone attacks in Pakistan? He wrote recently that, " While violent extremists may be unpopular, for a frightened population they seem less ominous than a faceless enemy that wages war from afar and often kills more civilians than militants. Press reports suggest that over the last three years drone strikes have killed about 14 terrorist leaders. But, according to Pakistani sources, they have also killed some 700 civilians. This is 50 civilians for every militant killed, a hit rate of 2 percent — hardly “precision.” "Expanding or even just continuing the drone war is a mistake. In fact, it would be in our best interests, and those of the Pakistani people, to declare a moratorium on drone strikes into Pakistan." Do you think that's right? And if so, is there a case for the UK disassociating itself from US policy on this - particularly given how much of a focus for grievance drone attacks are becoming among UK-Pakistani diaspora communities? Cheers, Alex Evans www.globaldashboard.org <<

Alex Evans
29 May 2009

3
>> you have a favourite analyst? <<

Steve Mc (Canada)
30 May 2009

4
>> The problem with Afghanistan is the fact that after the war with Soviet Union majority of the society consists of youth. Youth that had no education, no family or house. Those people are now adults. The key to success is not only winning the war with Talibans but above all give the society hope for better future by investing in economy and education. Hunger and poverty compel people to support Talibans. <<

Monika Sulima
30 May 2009

5
>> Kilcullen notes the significance of people’s support. Winning hearts and minds is a classic precondition. Other strategic preconditions are also noteworthy from Sun Tzu to Clausewitz, Mao to Morgenthau. Their knowledge is still valid. There are also notable contemporary authors such as Lawrence Freedman, Martin Van Creveld, William Lind and TX Hammes, Colin S. Gray I was about start research under his supervision end of this year, but changed finally as I shifted to University of London has also written extensively with striking ideas. Colin’s book “Another Bloody Century” 2005 is also a thoroughly researched piece of work. According to the famous dictum of Mao Tse-tung, “the people are the sea that fish guerilla swims.” Draining this sea is vital and therefore a credible counter-ideology is important to deter the insurgent claims. <<

Chamila Liyanage
02 Jun 2009

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