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Annex A: How to use the GDP deflator series: Practical examples

The following is an extract from a deflator series and provides examples of how the series can be used.

GDP Deflators at market prices, and money GDP

Please note: This table is for illustration only and its details are not updated with changes in the current deflator table

GDP Deflator Table Money GDP Table
GDP deflator
at market prices
Money GDP
Financial 2002-03 percentage change on previous year Financial Cash
Year =100 Year million
1990-91 70.984 7.90 1990-91 563,735
1991-92 75.285 6.06 1991-92 595,054
1992-93 77.756 3.28 1992-93 615,404
1993-94 79.874 2.72 1993-94 653,582
1994-95 81.053 1.48 1994-95 690,575
1995-96 83.414 2.91 1995-96 729,389
1996-97 86.292 3.45 1996-97 774,140
1997-98 88.48 2.54 1997-98 823,599
1998-99 91.031 2.88 1998-99 869,275
1999-00 93.046 2.21 1999-00 919,696
2000-01 94.251 1.29 2000-01 963,508
2001-02 96.721 2.62 2001-02 1,005,150
2002-03 100.000 3.39 2002-03 1,055,190
2003-04 102.789 2.79 2003-04 1,115,000
2004-05 105.161 2.31 2004-05 1,176,000
2005-06 107.812 2.52 2005-06 1,243,000
2006-07 110.702 2.68 2006-07 1,308,000
2007-08 113.691 2.70 2007-08 1,372,000
2008-09 116.761 2.70 2008-09 1,444,000

  • Calculating Inflation Between Different years

A. In the above example there is a 2.21% increase in prices between 1998-99 and 1999-00.

i.e. ( 93.046 – 91.031 ) / 91.031 x 100 = 2.21

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Q. What was the cumulative inflation between 1997-98 and 2002-03?

A. 13.02% increase between 1997-98 and 2002-03.

i.e. (100 - 88.480 )/88.480 x 100 = 13.02%

  • Inflating Figures

Q. How much would £7.4 million in 1998-99 prices be worth in 2003-04 prices?

A. Using the GDP deflator series which shows that in 2003-04 prices are higher than in 1998-99 by a ratio of 1.13 (102.789 ÷ 91.031).

i.e. £7.4m x (102.789 / 91.031) = £8.36mTherefore £7.4m in 1998-99 prices is equivalent to £8.36m in 2003-04 prices.

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  • Deflating Figures

Q. How much would £85.32 million in 2002-03 prices have been worth in 1992-93?

A. Prices are lower in 1992-93 than 2002-03 by a factor of 0.778 (77.756 ÷ 100)

i.e. £85.32m x (77.756/100) = £66.34mTherefore £85.32m in 2002-03 prices is equivalent to £66.34m in 1992-93 prices.

  • Changing the reference year

It may be necessary to change the reference year you are working from.

The easiest way to achieve this is to divide all the deflators by the value of the deflator in the new reference year, then multiply by 100.

e.g. to rebase the series so that 1999-00 is the reference year (i.e. equal to 100)

1990-91 70.984/93.046 x 100 76.289
1991-92 75.285/93.046 x 100 80.912
1992-93 77.756/93.046 x 100 83.567
1993-94 79.874/93.046 x 100 85.844
1994-95 81.053/93.046 x 100 87.111
1995-96 83.414/93.046 x100 89.648
1996-97 86.292/93.046 x 100 92.741
1997-98 88.48/93.046 x 100 95.093
1998-99 91.031/93.046 x 100 97.834
1999-00 93.046/93.046 x 100 100.000
2000-01 94.251/93.046 x 100 101.295
2001-02 96.721/93.046 x 100 103.950
2002-03 100/93.046 x 100 107.474
2003-04 102.789/93.046 x 100 110.471
2004-05 105.161 /93.046 x 100 113.020
2005-06 107.812 /93.046 x 100 115.870
2006-07 110.702 /93.046 x 100 118.976
2007-08 113.691/93.046 x 100 122.188
2008-09 116.761/93.046 x 100 125.487

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Producing a real terms series

To produce a real terms series, divide each value in the series by the given deflator for that year, and then multiply by the deflator for the year that you wish to be the reference year.

e.g. Consider the following example, which shows expenditure on X for 1999-00 to 2002-03, and suppose we wish to create a real terms series, with 2000-01 as the reference year.

Year GDP deflator Expenditure on X (£m)
1998-99 91.031 204
1999-00 93.046 219
2000-01 94.251 240
2001-02 96.721 258
2002-03 100.000 272

For 1998-99, multiply £204m by 94.251 and divide 91.031 gives:

(£204m x 94.251)/91.031 = £211.21

Similarly for the other years gives:

Year GDP deflator Expenditure on X (£m) Real terms expenditure (£m) in 2000-01 prices
1998-99 91.031 204 211.22
1999-00
93.046
219 221.84
2000-01 94.251 240 240.00
2001-02 96.721 258 251.41
2002-03 100.000 272 256.36

*Note that in this example as 2000-01 is the reference year for the real terms series, actual expenditure is equal to real terms expenditure

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How To Calculate a Real Terms Growth Rate

Following on from the example above you may wish to calculate a real terms growth rate. This will show year on year percentage growth rate in the real terms expenditure series. To get a real terms growth series simply calculate the year on year percentage growth rate of the real terms expenditure figures.

i.e. For 1999-00

(221.84 - 211.22)/211.22 x 100 = 5.03%

Similarly for the other years gives:

Year GDP deflator Expenditure on X (m) Real terms expenditure (m) Real terms Growth Rate (%)
1998-99 91.031 204 211.22
1999-00 93.046 219 221.84 5.03
2000-01 94.251 240 240.00 8.19
2001-02 96.721 258 251.41 4.75
2002-03 100.000 272 256.36 1.97

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GDP Deflators index page