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 08 August 2007
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Updated Energy Projections (UEP)

The Updated Energy Projections exercise (UEP) provides updated projections and analysis of energy use and CO2 emissions in the UK. The UEP exercise incorporates all firm environmental policy measures and is based on updated assumptions consistent with the most recent UK Budget announcements. These projections inform energy policy and associated analytical work across government departments.

The most recent projections have informed the Energy White Paper (May 2007) and replace the projections published in July 2006 (see ‘Previous Projections’).

The UEP exercise providing updated energy and CO2 emissions projections began in April 2003 to inform the National Allocation Plan of the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) Phase I. Other policy informed by the projections includes, the Climate Change Programme Review (May 2006), the Energy Review (July 2006) and the National Allocation Plan Phase II of EUETS.  For more information on these, see the relevant 'External Links' and 'Related Documents'.

Projections Advisory Group (PAG) to UEP

An expert advisory group, set up by the DTI, meets from time to time to consider largely technical matters related to the process of energy modelling and the production of UEP projections. This is known as the Projections Advisory Group (PAG). All material relevant to the PAG, including minutes of meetings, a list of members and terms of reference, can be found under the ‘Projections Advisory Group’ topic heading.

Key modelling assumptions of UEP

Fossil fuel price and other key assumptions are revised from time to time and published with each updated set of projections.

The most recent fossil fuel price assumptions are published with the latest projections and are the result of a previous consultation based on the assumptions used in the previous projections (see 'Related Documents').

As energy markets move on, and especially in a period of price volatility, it is important to keep such assumptions under review.

For any enquiries regarding energy and emissions projections, please email the DTI modelling team at: emissionsprojections@dti.gsi.gov.uk.

© Crown copyright 2007