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Friday, 29 July 2011
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Are the advanced economies facing a lost decade?


Only two years into the recovery and incoming data indicates that the global economy has weakened anew, raising doubts about whether the expansion in the advanced economies is sustainable. We examine whether this disappointing economic data signifies that we are already heading into another downturn, or if we are merely experiencing a temporary softening of the global recovery. More generally, we ask whether the disappointingly sluggish pace of the recovery among the advanced economies signals that they may be facing a ‘lost decade’ resembling Japan’s experience in the 1990s.   4 July 2011
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The New Digital Economy: How it will transform business


International leaders face an era of unprecedented change. The financial crisis that ended in 2009 caused a seismic shift that has reshaped the global business landscape. The world economy is now characterized by sluggish growth in the West, a shift in power to the East, value-driven customers and rising risks everywhere. At the same time, the downturn has hastened the adoption of new tools that are transforming businesses and sparking a new wave of wealth creation, particularly in the emerging world: Mobility, cloud computing, business intelligence and social media.

Today’s economic realignment and digital transformation are inextricably linked. The current economic conditions are fostering investment in technology as emerging markets ramp up their demand for technology to fuel growth and advanced markets seek new ways to cut costs and drive innovation. This becomes a virtuous circle as digital technologies drive consumer income and demand, education and training, and efficient use of capital and resources—leading to increased economic growth, particularly in emerging markets.

To understand how these shifts will affect the global marketplace over the next five years, we conducted a study of 363 corporate decision-makers, supplemented by interviews and panel discussions with global c-level executives and thought leaders. The report offers a set of imperatives for CEOs to ensure their firms remain competitive. These include the development of a forward-thinking mobile strategy, reversing the traditional approach to innovation, and installing safeguards to protect against greater risks from cyber attacks, piracy and reputational damage, as well as economic volatility.   7 June 2011
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Balancing growth and stability in EU financial reform


Oxford Economics were commissioned by TheCityUK to examine the trade-off between tougher prudential regulations that promote financial stability on the one hand and, on the other, the need to allow well-managed risk-taking in the financial sector to support broader economic growth. The report provides a framework to inform the policy debate on financial regulation in Europe.  26 May 2011
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By-Country Industry Forecast Service

We are publishing new on-line reports providing detailed forecasts for prospects in over 80 industrial sectors across 68 different economies. The new service provides:

  • Forecasts for output growth on an annual basis over the next 10 years for over 80 sectors
  • Charts and tables highlighting key industrial output trends, past and future
  • Access to our Sectoral Forecast Databank, offering historical data and ten-year forecasts to download for your own analysis and reports
  • Forecasts derived from our highly-disciplined forecasting process using our Global Industrial Model
View example forecasts:
             Poland          China

See full range of countries covered ....

Country Economic Forecast Service

We are publishing new on-line country economic forecasts every day covering economic and political developments and prospects in over 175 countries, linked to our forecast databank:

  • Tailor-made for busy executives, the forecasts tell you everything you need to know for your business planning
  • Access to our Macro Forecast Databank, offering historical data and ten-year forecasts for a host of economic and social indicators plus detailed tourism statistics
  • Forecasts derived from our highly-disciplined forecasting process using our Global Model (the most widely used commercial model in the world)
View example forecasts:
             Thailand          Germany          Czech Republic

See full range of countries covered ....

Analysis for Better Decisions

Analysis for Better Decisions

Oxford Economics - formerly Oxford Economic Forecasting - is a world-leader in quantitative analysis and rigorous economic forecasting. Our evidence-based approach to economic analysis helps businesses, governments and international organisations make the right investment, policy and market decisions.

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