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management best practice

 

Japanese Supply Chain Relationships in a Recession

Mission to Japan, 1-9 March 1999

Executive Summary

 

Mission Members

  1. Mr Kenneth Cherrett (Mission Team Leader)
    Director-General, Partnership Sourcing Limited
  1. Mr Gerry Boden
    General Manager of Strategic Procurement, BT plc
  1. Mr Hywel Houghton-Jones
    Head of Group Purchasing, Nationwide Building Society
  1. Mr Neill Irwin
    Partnering Director, ICL
  1. Professor Richard Lamming
    CIPS Professor of Purchasing and Supply Management
    Director: Centre for Research in Strategic Purchasing and Supply (CRiSPS) School of Management, University of Bath
  1. Ms Marion Luckhurst
    Procurement Director, Alenia Marconi Systems Ltd

Mission Objectives

To investigate and report on:

  1. The lessons that can be learned from the effects which the current financial pressures in Japan and the East Asian region are having upon supply chains.
  2. The expected developments in Japanese supply chains over both the short and medium term.
  3. How ‘best practice’ procurement tools and techniques are currently being utilised in Japan; i.e. do they grow stronger or weaker during difficult trading conditions?
  4. How developments in information management and electronic commerce are being integrated and utilised in the current supply chains in Japan.
  5. The involvement and roles of supply chains and professional bodies in the organisational structures in Japanese companies.
  6. Opportunities for collaboration and co-operation in Japanese supply chains and professional bodies.
  7. Japanese customers and suppliers wishing to form partnerships with UK businesses and any barriers to the development of such partnerships.

The Context

In 1991 the Japanese economy plunged into recession and has yet to recover. In 1997 the country experienced negative growth in real GDP for the first time in twenty three years, and saw it again in 1998. Unemployment is set to rise significantly over the next two years; Japanese firms are stuck with high numbers of surplus employees who have been promised lifetime employment. No respite is predicted in the stalled growth until 2001.

Almost all Japan’s banks are technically insolvent. In March 1999 the top fifteen banks collectively announced plans for 21,000 job losses, in a deal with the government that will see them write off Y19 trillion of bad debt for 1998, taking a Y3.6 trillion loss but receiving in return Y7.45 trillion of public funds, to boost their flagging capital base.

The proportion of personal income going on taxation, social security and debt burden is predicted to increase from 45% in 1997 to 70% by 2025.

Relationships in Supply Chains

In post-war Japan, government policy drove purchasing strategies. The same central policy making was evident in the financial sector; interest rates were set by the Ministry of Finance; banks simply followed one another in agreed practice.

Typical supply relationships in Japan since World War II could be characterised as tough but fair, with the customer dominating the supplier in all matters. All the detailed aspects of the relationship were designed to develop the supplier to the customer’s requirements, thereby creating long-term dependency. This was not seen as aggressive, merely common sense. It also fitted the way Japanese business structure developed after World War II; many customer-supplier relationships effectively exclude the possibility of the supplier conducting business with other firms. The efficiency derived from customer dominance and supplier obedience has been identified as a strategic advantage for Japan in global competition within many product markets.

The Mission

The development of efficient supply relationships in post-war Japan apparently depended upon healthy levels of demand, exports and finance. The question thus arises: ‘How has the recession affected the supply relationships in Japan?’

Conclusions from the Mission

The Japanese have shown both strengths and weaknesses in this crisis. The broad response has been to shake out surplus capacity. The supply relationships and ownership structures provide a setting within which tough decisions can be made: suppliers do not doubt the resolve, nor the motives, of customers who turn the screw. Japanese customers and suppliers will go through the recession together, recognising that not everyone will survive, nor has a right to do so.

The expression 'supply chain management' is not widely recognised in Japan; the expectation on the part of firms is that their 'first-tier' suppliers will manage the supply matters concerning the 'second tier' and so on. Customer firms do not seek to intervene in the relationships between their first and second-tier suppliers, nor do the suppliers wish them to do so. In the strong keiretsu structures, the parent firm naturally has more of an influence over the activities of its indirect suppliers, via the first tier, but in the recession these bonds appear to be weakening.

In the keiretsu, the traditional policy of restricting suppliers to dealing with one customer only (especially evident in the automotive industry) is becoming less popular; suppliers are being encouraged to deal with other customers, including the competitors of their ‘parent’ (even carrying out joint R&D) in order to learn new ideas and to supplement reduced levels of orders with other, new business.

Japanese firms are applying greatly increased pressure upon suppliers to reduce costs. In several industries, it is still the practice for customers to tell suppliers what cost reduction targets must be met; in some cases, the 1998 annual reductions were 20%. Customers recognise that this might lead to firms withdrawing or closing down but this is considered a logical way of removing inefficiency from the industry. As in the West, managers speak of ‘rationalising’ supply bases; for example, one large electronics manufacturer claims to have reduced the number of its suppliers from 7,000 to 5,000. Target costing and cross-functional teams are commonly used for cost reduction exercises but they rarely involve suppliers.

Customers and suppliers alike report that there is an increasing propensity to consider re-sourcing business if a supplier cannot achieve the necessary levels of cost reduction. This is not new but there is now a different perception of costs and benefits associated with helping the supplier to improve.

In all but the most tightly knit keiretsu, there is divestment underway.

Firms do not appear to be repatriating business to provide work for their surplus labour; Japanese labour costs are amongst the highest in the world. Withdrawal from the West in favour of Asian operating bases is, however, a serious prospect. When the products made in Japanese plants outside Asia reach the end of their lives it appears likely that the investment may not be maintained.

Japanese firms have opened International Purchasing Offices (IPOs) in other countries, to source globally. Thus, for example, an IPO in Singapore (a popular location) can purchase foreign, branded goods without the high costs of Japanese distribution channels, shipping them directly to plants elsewhere in the region or world.

In some sectors it is recognised that if a firm can purchase an item for 20% less than the current price it will re-source. If the alternative is a non-Japanese firm, the necessary margin is 25%. Most of the products bought from EU or USA are covered by patents and only available from there; i.e. duress purchases.

Customers appear to expect suppliers to survive on their own in respect of competitiveness and process technology; they are not prepared to wait for them to ‘catch up’ if they fall behind. In only the tightest of keiretsu relationships is there a hint of customers coaching suppliers on technology — the general picture is one of market forces, tempered by track record and pragmatism.

Even in the longest established Japanese Purchasing departments, little training other than learning on the job is practised and there is little research shared between firms and universities. Until recently, little international perspective was instilled in Buyers. There appears to be widespread agreement from senior general managers, however, that Purchasing is a very important management area — it is just not seen as one in which professional education and training are necessary.

It is clear that Japanese firms have not developed ‘partnering’ in supply as it is recognised in the West. The dominance of customers still appears largely benevolent but not to the point of shoring up weak suppliers, nor flouting market forces.

Japan appears to be well behind the West in the use of electronic commerce and the Internet. Communications between customers and suppliers are typically at the stage of developing EDI (Electronic Data Interchange) — the focus of attention in the West a decade ago. The high costs of Internet connection have prevented its wide adoption domestically and its use for anything beyond EMail has yet to become commonplace in business.

One scenario for the future is that the large, over-capacitated groups could ‘spin-out’ new companies, to produce new products developed by joint research and development programmes. The innovative new products, and the R&D associated with them would thus remain in Japan while less volatile, lower value, items could be made in Japanese plants elsewhere in Asia. The spin-out companies would become the new closely-tied suppliers to their ‘parent’ firms — benefiting from the same supportive relationships that have been seen in Japan in the past.

It may be expected that industrial purchasers in Japan will need to adopt the purchasing policy that has been publicly articulated by Toyota: to work hard in seeking the best solutions available from world class suppliers, rather than simply expecting them to bring their ideas to Toyota. Purchasing and supply strategists within the motor giant expresses this as "Learning by trying not buying."

Implications for UK Business

  • UK firms currently doing business with Japanese customers will need to redouble efforts to improve continuously to meet the increased demands of cost reductions and keep the business;

  • As Japan looks to its local region for supplies, firms may lose opportunities for UK investment from Japanese customers and must consider making their own investments in East Asia;

  • Such investments in third countries may need to achieve world class levels of performance immediately, i.e. no ‘ramp up’ period. This will entail setting up strategic supply chains before commencing production;

  • Merger and acquisition activity is being encouraged in Japan; non-Japanese firms are active in this respect;

  • The stock market situation and general difficulty in raising capital in Japan mean that it might be a favourable time to buy Japanese companies;

  • Japanese firms may keep leading edge technology at home, sourcing standard, stable products elsewhere in East Asia. This creates problems for UK firms needing to compete on the basis of advanced knowledge;

  • The initiatives in the December 1998 White Paper might create industrial organisations as important for the UK as the sectoral development associations have been for Japan, if they include co-operation on pre-competitive R&D.

Acknowledgements

The mission team would like to place on record their appreciation of the tremendous help and support received from the DTI and the staff of the British Embassy in Tokyo, the interpreters and all of the Japanese companies who hosted meetings with the team during their visit.

To purchase the full report (£25 per copy) contact:

Group Secretary
Partnership Sourcing Ltd
St. Christopher House
Southwark Street
London
SE1 0TE
Tel: 020 7921 1600
Fax: 020 7921 1601
Web: www.pslcbi.com

The Partnership Sourcing website is http://www.pslcbi.com/

DTI supported this mission, but is not responsible for the report as the report reflects the views of the mission team members.





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