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Emissions Projections

Energy and carbon dioxide emissions projections are used to inform policy development and their refinement to reflect new data, policy measures and other information is part of an ongoing exercise. These projections are used to inform the Climate Change Programme and the Energy Review and are also used as an input to the National Allocation Plan for the EU ETS to inform the allocation of allowances to sectors covered by the scheme.

Carbon dioxide emissions projections for industrial sectors covered by the EU ETS

DTI is responsible for developing emissions projections for EU ETS sectors for the Phase II (2008-12) period. These projections are used as part of the development of the UK National Allocation Plan for Phase II of the scheme.

Projections have been have been developed using DTI modelling expertise and work commissioned from Oxford Economic Forecasting (OEF) and the Carbon Consortium. A report by OEF is available in the 'Related Documents' section of this page.

A consultation on emissions projections was conducted in February-April 2006. A full response to consultation and a paper showing a summary of responses and recommended revisions to sector projections since February is available on the consultations area of the website. An updated OEF report is also available (see 'Related Documents').