Sutton and East Surrey Water Plc: A report on the
references under sections 12 and 14 of the Water Industry Act 1991
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Summary
On 7 February 2000
the Director General of Water Services (the Director) made two references
to us, one under section 12 and the other under section 14 of the Water
Industry Act 1991.
The section 12 reference requires us to determine for Sutton and East
Surrey Water plc (SESW) the adjustment factor, K, and the standard amount
for the water infrastructure charge, for the ten charging years from 1
April 2000 up to and including the year ending 31 March 2010. The section
14 reference requires us to report on whether continuation of the companys
licence without modification in relation to Notified Items operates or
may be expected to operate against the public interest.
In making our determinations, we must secure that SESW is able to finance
the proper carrying out of its functions as a water company, in particular
by securing reasonable returns on its capital. Subject to that, we must
also fulfil our other statutory duties, which are to protect the interests
of customers, to promote economy and efficiency on the part of companies
and to facilitate effective competition. We are satisfied that we have
complied with these obligations.
The licences of water companies provide that in any charging year the
increase in weighted average charges (ie the weighted average of the increase
in charges in unmeasured water supply and in measured water supply), when
expressed as a percentage, should not exceed RPI + K (the charges limit).
K may be positive, negative or zero, and may be set at different values
for each charging year. The effect of a negative K in excess of the RPI
is to require a reduction in nominal prices.
The licences also provide for K to be reviewed by the Director in a process
known as the Periodic Review. Such reviews normally take place every five
years, and the resulting determination of K by the Director is subject
to redetermination by the Competition Commission (CC) if the company does
not accept the Directors determination. In November 1999 the Director
determined K for SESW for the ten years beginning 1 April 2000. The determination
for the last five years of the period was set at zero because the Director
notified the company of his intention to review the companys K for
the ten charging years commencing 1 April 2005, in 2004. SESW disputed
the Directors determination and required the Director to make a
reference to the CC and he duly did so.
Table 1.1 compares the K profile we have determined with that made by
the Director. We have taken the Directors K for the charging year
2000/01 as our starting point as in practice bills have already been issued
and we do not think it would be practicable to attempt to adjust them
at this stage. As a consequence, we have adjusted K for the two subsequent
years in order to achieve the necessary profile for the five years beginning
1 April 2000. As the Director has given notice to SESW that he would carry
out a further review of K in 2004, we have determined a K of 0 for each
of the five years beginning 2005/06. The notional P0 assumes that all
the price reductions occur in the first year of the quinquennium. It is
calculated to enable a direct comparison to be made between our determination
and that of the Director.
TABLE 1.1 Comparison of K determinations
|
|
|
|
|
|
per cent relative to the RPI |
|
2000/01 |
2001/02 |
2002/03 |
2003/04 |
2004/05 |
Notional P0 |
| CC |
17.0 |
+3.8 |
+2.1 |
0 |
0 |
13.5 |
| The Director |
17.0 |
5.0 |
2.4 |
0 |
0 |
21.3 |
Source: CC.
In determining K we have formed a different view from both the Director
and SESW on a number of issues, including the companys ability to
achieve efficiency improvements in its operating expenditure and capital
expenditure programmes, the likely number of customers who will take up
the option of a water meter introduced by the Water Industry Act 1999,
the location of meters, and increases in levels of bad debt. We have taken
a different view on treatment of chalk in the companys mains, the
resource deficit in the Sutton area and maintenance of infrastructure
and non-infrastructure assets. We have also assumed a different cost of
capital, we have calculated depreciation charges on non-infrastructure
assets using current cost depreciation rather than the broad equivalence
approach used by the Director, and we have allowed for all the costs of
the inquiry for which the company is liable. We were advised that we are
by law required to do this. The cumulative impact of these and other differences
explains why our determination of K differs from that of the Director.
SESW argued that we should base our determination of K largely on its
figures. It told us that comparative data may legitimately be used as
a cross-check of the companys empirical data, but it should not
be substituted for that data. Unless we were able to point to errors in
the companys data, we must use them as our starting point. We do
not accept the companys argument. A significant feature of the arrangements
for economic regulation of the water industry is the emphasis on comparative
competition. The use of comparative data is a legitimate tool in the Directors
Periodic Review process and it forms an integral part of our determination
of K. We consider that we must give due weight to evidence on comparative
efficiency and performance, which can be assessed through statistical
evidence as well as other approaches.
The water infrastructure charge is levied by a water company to recover
the costs of providing a connection to a water supply of premises which
have never been connected to a supply provided for domestic purposes.
The Director determined that the standard amount for the water infrastructure
charge for the year commencing 1 April 2000 should be £229.23 per
property; for subsequent years that amount would be adjusted by the RPI.
Although SESW did not dispute the Directors determination of the
water infrastructure charge, it forms part of his overall determination
package and was, therefore, referred to us for determination.
We think it reasonable that the current infrastructure charge should
be inflated by the RPI and that the limit in subsequent years should be
inflated in the same manner. We have, accordingly, determined that the
standard amount in relation to infrastructure charges for the charging
year commencing 1 April 2000 shall be £229.23; for subsequent years
that amount is to be adjusted by the RPI.
Provision is made in the companys licence for K to be adjusted
between Periodic Reviews to take account of a change in costs associated
with a Notified Item or with a Relevant Change of Circumstance, terms
which are defined in the Glossary. This procedure, which is called an
interim determination, cannot take place unless the net present value
of the resulting gain or loss to the company exceeds a materiality threshold
of 10 per cent of the companys turnover.
The Director has proposed a modification to the companys licence
which would alter the calculation of the materiality threshold, thereby
enabling the company to request an interim determination if changes to
its operating expenditure or loss of revenue were to exceed approximately
1 per cent of its total revenue or would have an equivalent weighting
when taken with changes in capital costs.
We have found that the continuation of the companys licence without
modification may be expected to operate against the public interest on
the grounds that the existing materiality threshold is too high. The adverse
effects that may be expected are that the company would have to conduct
its affairs against the risk of incurring substantial loss in relation
to a Notified Item, or customers would pay excess charges as a consequence
of the company not suffering any loss in relation to a Notified Item,
or both. We consider the modifications proposed by the Director, with
certain variations that we have proposed, would remedy or prevent the
adverse effects we have identified.
Full text
Contents |
Part I |
Summary and Conclusions |
| Chapter
1 |
Summary |
| Chapter
2 |
Conclusions |
Part II |
Background and evidence |
| Chapter 3 |
Background |
| Chapter 4 |
Water price regulation |
| Chapter 5 |
Financial background |
| Chapter 6 |
The capital investment programme of SESW |
| Chapter 7 |
The operating expenditure of SESW |
| Chapter 8 |
Cost of capital and financial projections |
| Chapter 9 |
Views of the Director |
| Chapter 10 |
Views of the DETR, the DWI and the EA |
| Chapter 11 |
Views of Sutton and East Surrey Water |
| Chapter 12 |
Views of third parties |
| |
List of signatories |
Appendices |
|
| (The numbering of the appendices
indicates the chapters to which they relate) |
| 1.1 |
The reference and background |
| 2.1 |
The section 14 reference |
| 3.1 |
Processes involved in the supply of water |
| 4.1 |
The tariff basket formula |
| 4.2 |
The Licence (interim determinations) |
| 4.3 |
A proposal for an automatic adjustment mechanism
(paper by Frontier Economics for SESW) |
| 5.1 |
ESH: subsidiary and associated companies |
| 5.2 |
ESH group: profit and loss accounts (HCA basis) |
| 5.3 |
ESH group: balance sheets (HCA basis) |
| 5.4 |
ESH group: cash flow statements (HCA basis) |
| 5.5 |
SESW: profit and loss accounts (HCA basis) |
| 5.6 |
SESW: balance sheets (HCA basis) |
| 5.7 |
SESW: reconciliation between HCA-based performance
and CCA-based performance |
| 5.8 |
SESW: profit and loss accounts of the regulated
water business (CCA basis) |
| 5.9 |
SESW: balance sheets of the regulated water business
(CCA basis) |
| 5.10 |
SESW: cash flow statements of the regulated water
business (CCA basis) |
| 6.1 |
The quality enhancement/capital maintenance overlap |
| 6.2 |
Historical capital maintenance and serviceability |
| 6.3 |
The drinking water quality programme |
| 6.4 |
Supply and demand investment and infrastructure
charges |
| 6.5 |
Optional metering |
| 6.6 |
The scope for improvements in capital efficiency |
| 7.1 |
The scope for operating efficiency improvements |
| 7.2 |
Ofwats analysis of operating efficiency |
| 7.3 |
Mid Kent Waters pooled data analysis and
Professor Stewarts alternative model |
| 7.4 |
Staffing and employee efficiency |
| 7.5 |
The service performance adjustment |
| 8.1 |
Estimates of beta for the water sector and small
water companies |
| 8.2 |
Arithmetic and geometric mean |
| 8.3 |
WACC and tax adjustment |
| 8.4 |
Real prices of capital projects |
| 8.5 |
Depreciation and asset life assumptions |
| 8.6 |
Methodology for calculating K |
| 8.7 |
Calculation of K |
| 8.8 |
The Directors projections |
| 8.9 |
The companys projections |
| Glossary |
|
| Index |
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