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2002

2002: March


20/02
25 March 2002

CARGILL/CERESTAR MERGER INQUIRY

Statement of Issues and Hypothetical Remedies

The Competition Commission (the Commission) has sent an issues letter to the parties, Cargill PLC and Cerestar SA, in its inquiry into the proposed merger of these companies.

The Commission has identified a number of issues that it wishes to consider, arising from the information received to date from Cargill, Cerestar and a number of third parties. These issues will form the basis for the Commission’s findings on the question whether the proposed merger might be expected to operate against the public interest.

An issues letter is always sent to the main parties in an inquiry and is designed to highlight those matters which have been identified by the investigating Group for further consideration, and to ensure that no relevant matter has been missed. The Commission will shortly discuss these issues at a hearing with the parties. The purpose of making the statement of issues public is to inform all interested parties, should there be any further point they wish to raise with the Commission within the next week. No conclusions have yet been reached by the Commission as to whether any matter operates or might be expected to operate against the public interest.

The issues that the Commission intends to consider are as follows:

Market definition

  1. Product market:
  2. Whether glucose syrups and blends (GSB) constitute a separate product market or whether these products are part of the wider market for sweeteners.

  3. Geographic market:

Whether the geographic market for GSB is EU-wide or whether Continental Europe and the UK, or parts of the UK, might be considered to form separate geographic markets. In this context:

  1. whether the current level of imports into the UK indicates that the Continental European market includes all parts of Great Britain and Northern Ireland;
  2. whether the costs of transporting GSB relative to their price make it profitable for GSB to be supplied to large customers in the UK from production plants in Continental Europe;
  3. whether it is profitable for Continental GSB plants to supply medium-sized and smaller sized customers in the UK;
  4. whether the need of some UK customers for "just in time" deliveries of GSB means that supplies from outside the UK are not feasible for such customers on a long-term basis;
  5. whether, following the merger, customers requiring tailor-made GSB would be disadvantaged, either in terms of choice or price.

Barriers to entry

3. Whether there are currently any barriers to entry to the GSB market and whether new entry or expansion would be less likely following the merger.

4. Whether the creation of an even stronger UK player in the market for GSB than currently exists would be likely to act as a barrier to entry.

Market power

5. Whether the merged company would acquire market power in the supply of GSB in the UK.

6. If so, whether the merged company could raise prices above the levels that would be achieved if the merger did not take place.

Competition issues

7. Whether, were the merger to proceed, there would be a realistic threat of increased imports of GSB, capable of acting as a constraint on the prices of these products in the UK. In particular, whether GSB production plants in Continental Europe have sufficient cost advantages (for example, because of their greater economies of scale) to offset any higher transport costs of importing GSB into the UK.

8. Whether matters such as the need for reliability and continuity of supply of GSB would deter customers from switching to imported supply of these products, even where such imports otherwise offered better value for money.

9. Whether it is likely that, without the merger, UK price levels would be sufficient to encourage imports or investment in domestic production capacity.

10. Whether, and if so to what extent, buyer power exists among purchasers of GSB in the UK. Whether such purchasers would be able to resist attempted price increases by the merged company by, for example, threatening to switch supplier or sponsoring new entry of GSB production in the UK.

11. Whether, were the merged company to raise the prices of GSB, other UK producers would have sufficient capacity to satisfy the demand of customers of the merged company who sought to switch their purchases to those other UK producers.

12. Whether, were the merged company to raise the prices of GSB, competitors of the merged company would be likely to follow such prices.

13. Whether the merged company would be able, and likely, to engage in geographic sharing of the market with the other producers of GSB in the UK in order to keep prices higher than would otherwise be the case.

14. Whether the merged company would be likely to restrict production capacity in the UK, and if so whether that would result in higher prices for GSB.

15. Whether any reduction in capacity within the UK following the merger would result in either further investment in capacity in the UK by existing competitors, or entry of new competitors not currently producing within the UK.

16. Whether some purchasers of GSB attach importance to product or quality differences (including genetic modifications) between maize-based GSB and wheat-based GSB and whether the merger between the two maize-based producers of GSB in the UK would affect the cost, availability or quality of GSB available to such purchasers.

Possible adverse effects of the merger on competition

17. Whether prices would be raised above levels that would otherwise have prevailed.

18. Whether, in respect of GSB, the merged company would be able, and likely, to reduce the product or service quality below levels that would otherwise have been provided.

19. Whether security of supply and distribution of the reference products would fall below levels that would otherwise have prevailed.

20. Whether, in respect of GSB, the merged company would be less likely to innovate, by developing new or improved products, or by reducing production costs.

21. Whether, in respect of GSB, the merged company would be likely to offer less choice than would otherwise have been the case.

Possible benefits for competition from the merger

22. Whether the merger would enhance competition in the supply of GSB, for example, through new investment in the UK. Whether such enhancement of competition might be expected to result in prices of GSB to some or all customers within the UK that were lower than would be available were the merger not to take place.

23. Whether the merger would result in a company better able, because of size and scale economies, to compete with GSB producers in Continental Europe.

Hypothetical remedies

24. Whether any of the possible adverse effects set out in paragraphs 17– 21 above could be remedied:

  1. by prohibition of the merger;
  2. by the divestment of any plant, product or equipment of either Cargill or Cerestar in the UK;
  3. by behavioural remedies of any sort, for example, some form of price control;
  4. by any other means.

Notes to Editors

  1. The reference was made by the Secretary of State for Trade and Industry under the Fair Trading Act 1973 on 19th February 2002 (see DTI Press Release P/2002/108).
  2. No conclusion will be reached about whether any matters operate or may be expected to operate against the public interest until the Competition Commission submits its report to the Secretary of State on 9 May. The report will be published later.
  3. The inquiry is being chaired by Peter Mackay. The other members of the group are Dr Diane Coyle, Christopher Darke, Professor Cosmo Graham and Peter Stoddart.
  4. Further information can be obtained from the Commission’s website at www.competition-commission.org.uk/inquiries/glucose.htm
  5. Enquiries should be directed to: Francis Royle, Press Officer tel: 020 7271 0242